Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.009683 0.011537 0.013804 0.016830 0.020847 0.026123 0.033802
2025-06-01 0.007083 0.009115 0.011895 0.016137 0.022768 0.033385 0.053318
2025-06-08 0.005987 0.008118 0.011273 0.016589 0.026059 0.044102 0.087764
2025-06-15 0.005131 0.007212 0.010467 0.016366 0.027996 0.053630 0.132576
2025-06-22 0.004381 0.006306 0.009431 0.015390 0.028035 0.059233 0.177599
2025-06-29 0.003976 0.005868 0.009066 0.015507 0.030371 0.072395 0.284275
2025-07-06 0.003718 0.005624 0.008976 0.016123 0.034161 0.093797 0.535608
2025-07-13 0.003571 0.005542 0.009156 0.017350 0.040246 0.132106 1.376502
2025-07-20 0.003374 0.005341 0.009067 0.017948 0.044986 0.174683 3.972989
2025-07-27 0.003154 0.005069 0.008790 0.018013 0.048144 0.217620 14.170822
2025-08-03 0.002968 0.004840 0.008562 0.018145 0.051727 0.275948 158.853764
2025-08-10 0.002750 0.004523 0.008105 0.017550 0.052221 0.313610 474146.306833
2025-08-17 0.002499 0.004141 0.007500 0.016542 0.051080 0.341976 NaN
2025-08-24 0.002298 0.003841 0.007042 0.015870 0.051243 0.394194 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002194 0.003721 0.006970 0.016312 0.057125 0.581284 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002061 0.003530 0.006705 0.016095 0.059634 0.755299 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001902 0.003268 0.006243 0.015141 0.057418 0.801504 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001816 0.003153 0.006117 0.015256 0.061768 1.163295 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001763 0.003100 0.006131 0.015858 0.070137 2.136405 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001739 0.003106 0.006294 0.017057 0.085009 6.158264 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001688 0.003050 0.006289 0.017640 0.096502 18.885795 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001621 0.002952 0.006161 0.017704 0.103696 61.654414 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001562 0.002865 0.006054 0.017833 0.112270 594.028644 NaN